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Market News 4/12/24

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Markets

Stocks pulled off a remarkable resurrection yesterday, echoing the iconic Undertaker coffin meme as they bounced back from investors' initial overreaction to the underwhelming inflation report earlier in the week. Tech stocks took the lead, spearheaded by significant gains from several top performers dubbed the Magnificent Seven. Rent the Runway experienced an astonishing surge of 162% following its optimistic annual forecast announcement and its strategic deployment of AI plans.

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Finance

High Rates Have Been a Profit Machine For Banks. Not Anymore?

The Wall Street Journal

On Friday, major banks affirmed the economy's robustness but expressed concerns about the impact of sustained higher interest rates.

JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup reported first-quarter profits and revenues that exceeded expectations, signaling the health of both consumers and businesses. However, they cautioned about the potential dampening effect on their core lending incomes due to the prolonged period of elevated interest rates, which is expected to persist.

JPMorgan's profit rose by 6% to $13.42 billion, while Wells Fargo earned $4.62 billion, and Citigroup earned $3.37 billion, representing declines of 7% and 27%, respectively. Despite these fluctuations, overall revenue increased by 4%.

The current economic climate, often described as "Goldilocks," has been favorable for the largest banks. Job creation remains strong, consumer spending and borrowing persist, and despite the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes, the economy continues to expand. Additionally, companies have been active in the debt markets, and Wall Street has seen a resurgence in dealmaking after a two-year downturn.

In a press call, JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon emphasized the strength of the American economy, despite the challenges posed by rising interest rates.

Politics

House Passes Controversial Spying Bill as Speaker Johnson Overcomes GOP Objections

The Wall Street Journal

On Friday, the House approved legislation to extend a contentious national-security surveillance authority, following adjustments made by House Speaker Mike Johnson (R., La.) to address concerns raised by former President Donald Trump and staunch conservatives.

The bill, which renews the foreign surveillance program known as Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, passed with a vote of 273-147, concluding a heated yearlong debate within the chamber. This debate saw an unusual alliance between some conservatives and progressives advocating for enhanced privacy protections, despite warnings from congressional leaders and the Biden administration about potential risks to national security posed by substantial alterations to the law.

The renewed legislation, set to expire imminently if not renewed, now moves to the Senate with White House support and is anticipated to gain approval. Notably, the renewed authority would last for two years instead of the initially proposed five, reflecting a compromise aimed at appeasing Trump and his allies.

Trump's public call on Wednesday to "KILL FISA" on social media prompted resistance from some Republicans, stalling the bill's progress and prompting last-minute revisions. This episode underscored the fragile position of Speaker Johnson's leadership within the narrowly divided House, where Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R., Ga.) is positioning herself to challenge his speakership.

Despite arguments from senior Biden administration officials about the critical importance of Section 702 in national security efforts, critics have long viewed the law skeptically, particularly regarding its authorization for the collection of certain American communications without a warrant.

While the legislation includes numerous privacy safeguards and amendments, a crucial vote to impose a warrant requirement narrowly failed on Friday. The Biden administration and security advocates opposed this requirement, considering it detrimental to the bill's passage.

Nevertheless, supporters of the bill highlighted it as the most comprehensive reform to FISA since its inception in 1978. Rep. Jim Himes, a leading Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee and a key architect of the legislation, emphasized the significance of the included safeguards in preventing past abuses from recurring in the future.

Tech

Generative AI Is Changing the Hiring Calculus at These Companies

The Wall Street Journal

The emergence of generative AI is reshaping the discourse surrounding hiring practices in numerous companies, as they recognize its potential to optimize workforce efficiency and productivity, ultimately enabling them to achieve more with fewer employees.

While the initial benefits derived from employing generative AI do not necessarily imply imminent layoffs, they do underscore a shift towards a leaner approach to hiring, according to chief information officers. This shift comes as business leaders in the technology domain seek tangible returns on their investments in AI technologies.

Amy Brady, CIO of KeyBank, highlighted the potential of AI in influencing workforce size by enhancing employee efficiency, thereby enabling companies to achieve cost savings through increased productivity with smaller teams. KeyBank's adoption of a conversational AI tool, for instance, has contributed to a reduction in call volumes at their customer service contact center, consequently leading to potentially fewer hires.

Similarly, Anupam Khare, Senior Vice President and CIO of Oshkosh Corp., emphasized the transformative impact of generative AI on workforce dynamics. He noted that productivity gains driven by AI implementations have minimized the need for additional hiring, even in scenarios where employees are promoted within the organization. Despite Oshkosh's substantial revenue growth over the years, the company has managed to maintain a stable workforce size relative to its expansion, attributing this efficiency to the integration of generative AI technologies.

Khare further elaborated that Oshkosh has identified 40 potential use cases for generative AI and has already initiated pilot programs for a couple of them, including code generation.

Media

O.J. Simpson Dead at 76

The Wall Street Journal

Thursday witnessed a tumultuous turn of events for those who measure historical milestones by the presence of TV carts wheeled into classrooms. O.J. Simpson, the iconic football figure famously acquitted of double murder charges in 1995, passed away at the age of 76 due to cancer, as confirmed by his family. His legacy resonates deeply, having reshaped American media and the criminal justice landscape.

The saga began in 1994 when Simpson's former wife, Nicole Brown Simpson, and her acquaintance Ronald Goldman were tragically found stabbed to death outside Brown's residence. Simpson, implicated in the murders, evaded surrender, embarking on a widely televised slow-speed pursuit in a white Ford Bronco, captivating an audience of nearly 95 million viewers. Thus commenced what many consider the most publicized trial of the era.

What fueled the unprecedented interest in the case?

Simpson's towering celebrity status, marked by a Heisman Trophy, induction into the Pro Football Hall of Fame, and notable film roles like those in Naked Gun, ensured his omnipresence in American culture. He was synonymous with Hertz rental cars, thanks to his appearances in commercials.

Analysts contend that his trial heralded the advent of the 24-hour news cycle, with networks like Court TV and CNN meticulously dissecting every development, captivating audiences. When the jury controversially acquitted Simpson, an estimated 150 million viewers tuned in.

Moreover, the trial unfolded against a backdrop of heightened racial tensions in Los Angeles, exacerbated by the 1991 police beating of Rodney King. One pivotal defense strategy involved the exposure of racist remarks by LA Detective Mark Fuhrman captured on tape.

The trial catapulted numerous individuals to fame, with virtually anyone associated with the case securing lucrative book deals or TV appearances. Beyond the plethora of documentaries and Hollywood adaptations, it also catalyzed the rise of the Kardashian media dynasty, given that Kris Jenner's former spouse, Robert Kardashian, served on Simpson's legal team.

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